Looking at the Election Statistically.

New figures out today show the race for parliament to be as tight as ever.  In the ComRes poll conducted on behalf of the Independent newspaper and ITV show the Liberal Democrats party trail the Conservative by only one percent.  The Labour party are several percent lower on 28%.  The Conservatives are on 32% compared to the Lib Dem’s on 31%.

Over the last few weeks these polls have fluctuated, but the Lib Dem rise has continued to sore since Nick Clegg took the stage in the first parilamentary debate.  His performance has shifted the balance in favour of his party, and according to ComRes, if Britain used the ‘Alternative Voting’ (AV) system favoured by Australia and New Zealand, the Liberal Democrat party would be elected as the next government.  In fact they would win twice as many votes if this were in place.

The Conservative party are not in favour of this system and David Cameron has openly criticised Nick Clegg for wanting to incorporate into the British electorial system.  But when roughly 19million votes were wasted during the 2005 election, surely some overhawl needs to take place.  Statistically that is almost 70% of the entire population having there vote tossed into the bin.  If this was an environmental problem serious questions would need to be asked.

In the opinion of Edward Millon-Scott, a journalist for the Guardian, “Britain is seen as having an arcane attachment not only to a grotesquely unfair electoral system, but also to the hereditary principle in our second chamber.”

The statistics speak for themselves.  If each political party were to win 30% each, with the remaining 10% going to smaller parties, Labour would win their fourth term in office with 315 seats, the Conservatives would have 206 and the Lib Dem’s would trail on 100.

Is this really what we want?


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